Everybody’s An Expert

(linkjockey@gmail.com) saw this on newyorker.com and thought you'd like to see it.

A review of a book on making predictions; “Expert Political Judgement: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?” by Philip Tetlock. So who is the real expert? Is it the conventional experts? Are crowds wise? Or is everyone equally bad at predicting the future?

Click here: http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2005/12/05/051205crbo_books1